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Meta: Golden Buying Opportunity Before Earnings

I’ll admit it—I have a weakness for chaos. Not the kind that wrecks portfolios, but the kind that makes markets irrational just long enough for patient investors to quietly load up while everyone else is busy doom-scrolling headlines and pretending they have conviction. And right now, standing in front of me like an underappreciated heavyweight waiting for its next round, is Meta Platforms . This isn’t a hype trade. It’s not a meme stock moment. It’s not even one of those “AI will fix everything” fairy tales people love to chant when they’re already fully invested and looking for validation. This is something much simpler—and much more uncomfortable. This is a potential buying opportunity that requires you to go against the crowd right before earnings. Which, as history has proven repeatedly, is exactly when most people lose their nerve. The Pre-Earnings Anxiety Machine Let’s talk about what happens before earnings. It’s almost predictable to the point of parody. Analysts tw...
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GitLab Pops as It Deepens AWS Collaboration — And Why I’m Paying Attention

There are moments in the market when a headline looks small, almost forgettable—just another “partnership expansion” tucked between louder, flashier news. And then there are moments when you realize that same headline is quietly signaling a structural shift. This is one of those moments. When I saw that GitLab is deepening its collaboration with Amazon Web Services , my first reaction wasn’t excitement. It was suspicion. Because I’ve seen this movie before. “Strategic partnership.” “Expanded collaboration.” “Integrated solutions.” Half the time, it’s corporate filler—buzzwords wrapped around something that doesn’t materially change the trajectory of either company. But this one? This one feels different. And if you’ve been paying attention to how software is built, deployed, secured, and scaled in 2025 and beyond, you know exactly why. First, Let Me Admit Something I used to underestimate GitLab. Not because it wasn’t good. Not because it wasn’t useful. But because it alw...
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Trump, Tim Cook, and the Fine Art of Complimenting Power While Everyone Pretends It’s Normal

I wasn’t planning to spend my morning thinking about Donald Trump complimenting Tim Cook . And yet, here we are. Because when a former president—especially one who has built an entire brand on confrontation, unpredictability, and the occasional rhetorical flamethrower—decides to publicly praise a tech CEO, it’s not just a compliment. It’s a moment. A signal. A strange little intersection of politics, corporate power, and whatever version of reality we’re currently living in. Trump recently praised Cook’s leadership and confidently declared that he would “continue to do great work” for Apple Inc. . On the surface, it sounds simple. Almost boring. Just one powerful person saying something nice about another powerful person. But if you’ve been paying attention to literally anything over the past decade, you know it’s never just that. So I did what any reasonable person would do. I stared at that statement longer than I should have, waiting for it to reveal something deeper. And un...
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Billions Burned or Billions Earned? The Brutal Math Behind Return on Compute

I used to think return on investment was the cleanest concept in finance. You put money in. You get more money out. You measure the difference. You pretend it was obvious the whole time. Then I started looking at AI companies—and suddenly ROI felt like trying to measure fog with a ruler. Because in the AI world, the real question isn’t just “what’s the return?” It’s: what’s the return on compute? And that’s where things get messy, expensive, and just a little bit absurd. The New Arms Race Nobody Fully Understands There’s a quiet competition happening right now, and it doesn’t look like anything we’ve seen before. It’s not just about revenue growth. It’s not even about user growth. It’s about compute. Who has it. Who can afford it. Who can turn it into something that actually makes money before the electricity bill shows up like an uninvited guest. Because AI isn’t like traditional software. You don’t just write code and scale it infinitely with minimal cost. Every model, e...
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Market Rotation Is Dead—Long Live the AI Gravity Trade

I used to think I understood the market. Not in a “CFA charterholder with twelve monitors and a Bloomberg terminal humming like a nuclear reactor” kind of way. More like the average overconfident adult who has survived a few bull runs, memorized a couple of ratios, and once said the phrase “forward-looking multiples” at a barbecue without being asked to leave. I thought I got it. Leadership rotates. Cycles cycle. Money flows like water—from one hot sector to the next, from growth to value, from “this is the future” to “this is somehow still alive.” It was comforting. Predictable, even. Tech leads. Then it cools. Industrials step in. Energy has its midlife crisis moment. Financials pretend they’re exciting again. Then back to tech, because of course. It was like watching a group of overpaid relay runners pass a baton labeled “market dominance,” each pretending they weren’t completely exhausted when they got it. Then AI showed up. And instead of a relay race, the baton got replaced with ...
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Don’t Chase the AI Hype—Own the Infrastructure Powering It

I used to think investing in AI meant picking the smartest company in the room. Find the one with the best model. The flashiest demo. The CEO who talks like they’re one product launch away from rewriting reality. Buy the stock, sit back, and let the future compound. That worked—briefly. Then I realized something uncomfortable. The real money isn’t always in the intelligence. It’s in the infrastructure that makes intelligence possible. And once that clicked, I stopped looking at AI like a software story and started seeing it for what it really is: an industrial revolution disguised as code. The Illusion of the “AI Company” Everyone wants to own the next breakthrough model. It feels intuitive. Intelligence is the product, right? But here’s the problem: intelligence is becoming commoditized faster than people want to admit. Models improve, competitors catch up, open-source alternatives emerge, and suddenly what looked like a moat starts to feel like a temporary lead. Meanwhile...
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Durable Growth in Saturated Markets (Or: How I Learned to Stop Chasing “New” and Start Outlasting Everyone Else)

I used to think growth meant expansion. New customers. New markets. New products. New everything. If it wasn’t new, it wasn’t growth—at least that’s what I believed for a long time. And honestly, that belief worked… right up until it didn’t. Because eventually, you run into a wall. Not a dramatic, obvious wall. Not the kind that announces itself with flashing lights and a warning sign. No, this one is quieter. Subtler. It creeps up on you in the form of diminishing returns, rising competition, and that uncomfortable realization that everyone else had the exact same idea you did. Welcome to saturation. And once you’re there, all those strategies built on “just go get more” start to feel a little… naive. The Moment I Realized “More” Wasn’t the Answer I remember the exact phase when things stopped scaling the way I expected. Effort went up. Results… didn’t. I was doing more outreach, producing more content, exploring more channels—basically throwing everything I had at the ide...
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