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Featured post

Beyond the iPhone: Where Apple’s Next Trillion Dollars of Value Could Come From

Whenever I hear someone ask what Apple will do after the iPhone, I think the question begins in the wrong place. It assumes Apple needs to invent another product as culturally dominant and financially powerful as the iPhone before the company can create its next trillion dollars of market value. I do not believe it does. Apple is no longer a company waiting for one device to save it. It is a platform spread across billions of active devices, supported by custom silicon, software, subscriptions, payments, wearables, health data and an extraordinarily loyal customer base. The iPhone remains the center of that system, but the next phase of Apple’s value may come from making every person inside the system worth a little more—not from discovering a completely new population overnight. As of September 14, 2026, Apple’s market capitalization was approximately $4.9 trillion. Adding another trillion would represent an increase of roughly 20%. That is a serious challenge, especially with the sto...
Recent posts

BEN’s Dividend Is Attractive—but What Is the Market Trying to Tell Investors?

Franklin Templeton’s income looks dependable. The harder question is whether the business underneath it is finally turning a corner. I have a weakness for dividend stocks. There is something deeply satisfying about owning a company that sends me cash without requiring me to sell anything, predict the next market craze, or pretend I understand why a cryptocurrency named after a cartoon animal gained 40% before breakfast. But a dividend can be seductive in exactly the wrong way. A large yield can look like a welcome mat when it is actually caution tape. It can make a struggling company appear generous when the market is quietly pricing in stagnant earnings, weak growth, or a future cut. A dividend tells me what management intends to pay. The stock price tells me what investors think that promise is worth. That brings me to Franklin Templeton, which still trades under the ticker BEN following the company’s August 2026 corporate name change from Franklin Resources. At a recent price near $...

Azure’s AI Infrastructure Buildout Could Reshape Microsoft’s Profit Margins

For years, Microsoft trained investors to think of cloud computing as one of capitalism’s more elegant machines. Build the platform, fill the data centers, sell recurring access, and watch software economics spread across an enormous customer base. It was not effortless, but it looked wonderfully scalable. Each additional workload could ride on infrastructure Microsoft had already built, while subscription revenue arrived with the dependable rhythm of a direct debit nobody in accounting wanted to cancel. Then artificial intelligence showed up carrying a shopping list. The list included graphics processors, central processing units, custom silicon, networking equipment, cooling systems, power contracts, land, concrete, backup generators, fiber, and data centers large enough to make an airport terminal feel intimate. Suddenly, the cloud business that investors loved for its software-like margins began consuming capital with the appetite of a heavy industrial project. I do not view this a...

AWS vs. Amazon Retail: Which Business Will Create More Shareholder Value From Here?

Amazon’s cloud division prints profits. Its retail machine prints shipping labels by the billion. If I had to choose which one will drive the next chapter of shareholder value, the answer looks obvious—until I examine what the two businesses actually do for each other. Whenever I look at Amazon, I feel as though I am analyzing three companies wearing one trench coat. There is the retailer that sells everything from televisions to emergency quantities of paper towels. There is the marketplace and logistics empire that lets third-party merchants borrow Amazon’s traffic, warehouses, delivery network, and increasingly large collection of fees. Then there is Amazon Web Services, the cloud-computing business that quietly became the financial adult in the room while the retail operation continued buying vans, building fulfillment centers, and promising to deliver dental floss before I remember ordering it. The standard investor answer to “AWS or retail?” is AWS. Of course it is. AWS grows fas...

Arista’s Biggest Customers Are Also Its Biggest Risk

I like companies with important customers. I become considerably less relaxed when two of those customers account for nearly half the business. That is the strange position I find myself in whenever I look at Arista Networks. The company has become one of the most important suppliers of high-performance networking equipment for hyperscale data centers and artificial-intelligence infrastructure. Its technology sits in the digital engine rooms of some of the richest and most technically demanding companies on Earth. That sounds wonderful because it is wonderful. It is also the problem. According to Arista’s 2025 annual filing, two customers individually accounted for 26% and 16% of annual sales. Together, those two relationships represented 42% of the company’s revenue. The customers were widely identified as Microsoft and Meta, two technology giants spending aggressively to expand cloud and AI infrastructure. If I were trying to invent the perfect customer list for a networking company,...