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The Second Act: Investing in Businesses Beyond Revenue Acceleration

Wall Street has a type. It’s loud. It’s fast. It grows at 40% year-over-year and says words like total addressable market with a straight face. It raises capital like oxygen is optional. It promises that scale will fix everything. And then one day it doesn’t grow at 40%. That’s when the room gets quiet. Because most investors are trained to chase acceleration. Revenue acceleration. User growth acceleration. “Beat and raise” acceleration. The cult of the upward slope. But here’s the truth seasoned investors eventually learn: There is life beyond acceleration. In fact, some of the best long-term returns come from companies that have already had their dramatic growth spurt and are now entering what I call The Second Act . The second act is not flashy. It’s not viral. It doesn’t trend on social media. It doesn’t get breathless headlines about “disruption.” It gets better. It gets disciplined. The First Act Is Seduction The first act of a company’s life is intoxicating. Reven...
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Incremental Yield on Cost: A Long-Horizon Approach to Rising Income

Investors tend to obsess over yield in the present tense. What’s the current dividend yield? What’s the distribution rate? How much income will this generate next quarter? These are reasonable questions. They are also incomplete. Yield, when examined only at the moment of purchase, is static. Income investing, when practiced with discipline and patience, is dynamic. The real power does not lie in the initial yield. It lies in what that yield becomes over time. Incremental yield on cost is the concept that reframes income investing from a snapshot into a timeline. It is not about what an asset yields today. It is about how rising payouts compound against your original capital. This approach requires patience, analytical rigor, and an unusual tolerance for slow beginnings. It also offers one of the most durable pathways to long-term income growth. Defining Yield on Cost Yield on cost (YOC) is a simple calculation: Annual income received ÷ Original purchase price. If you buy a...

Margin Stability and Dividend Resilience in Cyclical Industries

Cyclical industries are where dividends go to prove themselves. Anyone can pay a dividend when demand is booming, credit is loose, and customers are spending like it’s 2006. The real test comes when: Volumes drop Pricing power evaporates Fixed costs loom And management starts using the phrase “temporary headwinds” Cyclicals don’t just fluctuate. They swing. And when they swing, margins compress. When margins compress, cash flow thins. When cash flow thins, dividends get nervous. So the real question for serious investors isn’t: “Does this company pay a dividend?” It’s: “Can this company maintain margins when the cycle turns?” Because margin stability is the foundation. Dividend resilience is the outcome. Understanding Cyclical Industries Let’s define the terrain. Cyclical industries are those whose revenues and profits move meaningfully with economic cycles. Think: Autos Industrial machinery Basic materials Semiconductors Airlines Homebui...

The 10-Year Dividend Test: Screening for Sustainable Annual Increases

If you’re serious about dividend growth investing — not the flashy “yield-chasing because it feels productive” version, but the disciplined, compounding-machine version — then you eventually run into a hard truth: Anyone can raise a dividend once. Twice? Still easy. Three years? Respectable. Ten straight years? Now we’re talking about durability. The 10-Year Dividend Test isn’t a meme. It’s not a buzzword. It’s a filter — and a surprisingly ruthless one. It’s designed to answer one question: Can this company raise its dividend through multiple economic cycles without breaking character? Because anyone can look brilliant in sunshine. The real test is whether they can keep paying you more when it rains. Let’s build this framework properly. Why Ten Years Matters Ten years is long enough to include stress. In most decades you’ll get: At least one recession scare One market correction Sector rotation Margin compression Interest rate changes Political or regul...